Essays · Dynamic Systems and Integrated Change

Human Behaviour Has Multiple Causes

A behaviour can have a genuine cause without that cause providing a complete explanation. Human behaviour often reflects multiple, unequal and context-dependent causal contributions, making the real explanatory task not to find one hidden cause but to identify the causal structure that actually matters.

By Yona Ole Lobulu ·

Essay12 min readD12.1

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Dynamic Systems and Integrated Change
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The question

Why can human behaviour rarely be explained adequately by a single cause?

Definition

Human behaviour is multiply caused: what a person does emerges from combinations of interacting influences whose effects depend on the person, context and wider causal system.

A person repeatedly postpones something they genuinely intend to do.

One explanation might be reduced motivation. Another might be exhaustion. A third might be that the task has become associated with anticipated difficulty or discomfort.

Any one of these could be causally relevant. More than one could matter at the same time. The error begins when identifying one genuine cause is treated as though the behaviour has now been fully explained.

This happens constantly in explanations of human behaviour. A person acts a certain way because of their personality, beliefs, hormones, childhood, habits, environment, culture, nervous system, incentives or motivation. Sometimes one of these factors really does matter substantially. Sometimes it may explain a great deal.

But a real cause can still be an incomplete explanation.

Human behaviour often reflects multiple causal contributions whose effects differ across people, contexts and combinations of conditions. Understanding behaviour therefore requires more than asking whether one factor matters. It requires identifying which causal influences actually contribute, what role they play, under what conditions they matter and how much of the outcome they explain.

A cause can be real without being the whole explanation

Suppose good evidence shows that sleep restriction increases the probability of postponing demanding tasks under particular conditions. That establishes a causal contribution.

It does not establish that sleep restriction is the sole cause of every instance of postponement. Nor does it tell us why one person postpones while another responds to the same sleep restriction in a different way.

A causal claim and a complete explanation answer different questions.

A causal claim asks whether changing some factor changes an outcome under relevant conditions. A fuller behavioural explanation may also need to account for why this outcome occurred in this person, in this situation and at this time rather than another possible outcome.

Causal validity and explanatory completeness are different achievements.

This builds on Correlation, Prediction, Causation and Mechanism. Establishing causation is scientifically meaningful. It simply does not guarantee that the rest of the causal architecture has been identified.

What multiple causation means

Multiple causation does not mean that every imaginable factor contributes to every behaviour.

It does not mean that behaviour is hopelessly complicated, that all causal influences matter equally or that an explanation becomes stronger every time another variable is added.

It means something more precise:

More than one causal influence can contribute to the same behavioural outcome.

Those contributions may have very different causal roles. One factor may have a large effect, another a modest one. One may be necessary under the relevant causal model, while another matters only under certain conditions. Several causes may contribute independently without interacting in the technical sense.

That distinction matters.

If two factors each change the probability of a behaviour, the behaviour can already be multiply caused. Interaction is a stronger claim: the effect of one causal influence depends on another factor or condition.

Multiple causation is therefore not simply a longer list of variables. It concerns the structure of causal contribution.

Causes can combine in different ways

There is no single pattern by which several causes must operate.

Some influences may contribute separately. Others matter conditionally: a factor that has little effect under one set of circumstances may matter greatly under another. Some operate through intermediate processes. And sometimes no single component is sufficient by itself even though a particular combination of conditions can produce the outcome.

Formal causal science makes this distinction especially clear. A factor can be genuinely causal without being independently sufficient, and different causal configurations can sometimes produce the same outcome.

That logic is useful for behavioural explanation even when no single formal model captures every kind of human behaviour.

The relevant question is not how many possible causes can be named. It is which causal structure is actually supported.

Similar behaviour can arise through different pathways

Imagine two people who both repeatedly postpone an important task.

For one, severe sleep restriction, competing responsibilities and limited available time might be important parts of the causal configuration. For another, the more relevant combination might involve learned avoidance, anticipated aversiveness and an immediately rewarding alternative.

The visible behaviour is similar. The causal pathways need not be.

This is an example of equifinality: different pathways can converge on a similar outcome.

Behavioural similarity does not guarantee causal similarity.

That is the broader implication of Different Causes, Same Outcome. What is observable about behaviour does not automatically reveal the causal pathway that produced it.

This matters whenever one behavioural label is treated as though it implies one underlying explanation. Two people can arrive at the same outward pattern for importantly different reasons.

Similar causes can contribute to different outcomes

The reverse is also possible.

A similar adverse influence may contribute to withdrawal in one causal configuration, increased effort in another, or little observable behavioural change in a third. Which outcome occurs depends partly on the surrounding conditions.

This is the logic of multifinality: similar starting influences can lead toward different outcomes.

Human behavioural outcomes can exhibit both equifinality and multifinality. These principles should not be turned into universal slogans, but they establish an important constraint on explanation: a causal influence does not determine one inevitable behavioural result.

The effect of a cause depends partly on the system in which it operates.

That is the central lesson of Same Cause, Different Outcomes.

Context changes what a cause does

Context is often treated as background, as though the important cause operates inside the person while everything outside merely surrounds it.

That division can be misleading.

The effect of a causal influence can depend on available actions, social expectations, physical opportunity, institutional rules, current physiological state, competing demands or the consequences attached to different behaviours.

Motivation, for example, may influence action differently depending on whether the relevant opportunity exists. Social evaluation may matter differently depending on prior learning, available responses or the relationship in which the evaluation occurs.

Context does not merely surround a cause. It can alter what that cause does.

This connects the essay to Causes, Conditions, Triggers and Constraints and Mediators, Moderators and Mechanisms. Some causal influences operate through intermediate processes; others differ in effect depending on surrounding conditions.

Conditionality belongs inside the causal explanation.

Behaviour can be explained at multiple levels

Human behaviour also invites false competitions between explanatory levels.

Is a behaviour biological or psychological? Neural or learned? Individual or environmental? Personal or structural?

Sometimes the competing claims genuinely conflict. But different levels do not become rivals simply because they use different vocabularies.

Consider an employee who repeatedly arrives late. Bodily state may matter. Learned expectations or planning may matter. Transport availability may matter. Workplace scheduling may matter. None of these belongs automatically in the explanation, but several could be causally relevant in the same case.

Relevant causes can sometimes be located in bodily state, learning and cognition, interpersonal relationships, environmental opportunities, institutional arrangements or broader cultural conditions.

A multilevel list is not yet a causal explanation.

The work lies in establishing which factors actually matter, what causal role they play and how the claims relate to one another.

This is where weak "biopsychosocial" explanation often fails. Naming biological, psychological and social factors does not by itself explain anything unless causal structure is specified.

The integrated-system perspective established in Mind, Brain and Body Form One System also prevents bodily, neural, cognitive and experiential explanations from being treated as explanations of independent machines. They concern distinguishable processes within the same living organism.

Different levels need not compete, and need not agree

Rejecting reductionism does not mean declaring all explanations complementary.

Different levels of explanation need not compete merely because they use different vocabularies. But genuinely incompatible causal claims are not complementary simply because they occur at different levels.

One account may claim that a factor is necessary while evidence shows that the outcome can occur without it. Two accounts may propose incompatible causal pathways or temporal sequences. An explanation may invoke a mechanism that empirical work does not support.

Such disagreements are real.

The relevant question is not whether an explanation is biological, cognitive, interpersonal or structural. It is whether it captures causal structure that matters to the phenomenon being explained.

A level of explanation earns its place through explanatory contribution, not because a comprehensive account is assumed in advance to require every possible level.

Multiple causes are not equally important

Recognising several causes does not flatten their importance.

A multicausal outcome can still contain a necessary factor. Another influence may greatly amplify the probability of the behaviour, while another has only a small modifying effect. Some causes may explain far more of the variation between cases than others.

Multiple causation is compatible with unequal causation.

This is why causal plurality should improve prioritisation rather than prevent it.

The task remains to identify which factors genuinely matter, what causal role they play, when they matter and how consequential those contributions are.

Nor does acknowledging multiple causation require denying that one factor can sometimes carry disproportionate explanatory weight. The point is not that every behaviour must have many equally important causes. It is that the existence of one important cause does not entitle us to assume that no other causal structure matters.

A cause is not the same as a sufficient explanation

Return to the original example.

Suppose sleep restriction genuinely contributes to repeated postponement in a particular case. That finding matters. But it may still leave unanswered why the effect took the form of postponement, why it appeared in this situation rather than another, and which surrounding conditions allowed or amplified it.

A causal factor can therefore be genuine while leaving part of the behavioural outcome unexplained.

That distinction is crucial.

Finding one cause is not a failed explanation. It becomes inadequate only when the scope of the claim expands beyond what the evidence establishes.

The problem with a single-cause explanation is not necessarily that the cause is false.

A real cause can still be an incomplete explanation.

Causal composition can change over time

The factors that help initiate a behaviour need not remain equally important later.

Circumstances change. Learning occurs. Capacity varies. Opportunities and constraints shift. A factor that mattered greatly at one stage may become less relevant at another.

The causal composition of a behavioural pattern can therefore change across time.

A further question then appears: what happens when causal factors begin altering one another?

That question belongs downstream. Here, the important point is simply that causal explanation may require attention not only to which factors matter, but also to when they matter.

Complexity is not an excuse for vagueness

Acknowledging multiple causation can invite the wrong conclusion:

Human behaviour is complex, therefore rigorous causal explanation is impossible.

It is not.

Causal science can investigate multicausal problems. Researchers can manipulate variables where possible, estimate conditional effects, compare causal models, test mediation and moderation, investigate interactions and evaluate competing explanations.

Several relevant causes make the task more demanding. They do not make it less scientific.

Multiple causation makes causal explanation more demanding, not less scientific.

Nor is "everything is connected" an explanation. A scientific account has to specify which connections matter and what evidence supports them.

Complexity is a property of the causal problem. Vagueness is a failure to specify it.

More complicated is not automatically better

The opposite mistake is to assume that once simple explanations are criticised, the explanation with the most variables, levels and arrows must be superior.

It is not.

An explanation becomes stronger by representing relevant causal structure, not by maximising detail. Unsupported or redundant factors can obscure the very relations the explanation is meant to clarify.

Parsimony therefore remains essential. But parsimony does not mean deleting causally important structure merely because a simpler story is easier to tell. It means avoiding explanatory machinery that the question does not require.

The goal is enough causal structure to explain the phenomenon adequately.

The goal is not maximal complexity. It is sufficient causal structure.

The question determines the required resolution

Different causal questions can require different levels of explanation.

Why did this person miss today's meeting?

Why does this person repeatedly miss important appointments?

Why is absenteeism unusually high across this organisation?

The behaviours are related, but the explanatory targets differ. The first may depend heavily on local conditions surrounding one event. The second concerns a recurring pattern across time. The third may require organisational or structural causes that would contribute little to explaining one isolated absence.

What counts as an adequate causal explanation therefore depends partly on what, precisely, is being explained.

This does not mean that any explanation is acceptable. Evidence still constrains which causal claims are supported.

It means that explanatory adequacy cannot be judged independently of the phenomenon and scale the explanation is supposed to address.

From causes to systems

Human behaviour is often multiply caused.

That does not mean every behaviour has countless relevant causes, every explanatory level must be included or every cause matters equally. Nor does it mean that one factor can never be necessary or unusually influential.

It means that behavioural explanation must remain open to several forms of causal structure at once: multiple contributors, conditional effects, alternative pathways, unequal causal importance and causes operating across different levels.

This changes the explanatory question.

Instead of reflexively asking:

What is the cause of this behaviour?

a stronger question is:

Which causal influences actually contributed, what role did they play, under what conditions did they matter, and how complete is the resulting explanation?

That does not abandon simplicity. It abandons false simplicity.

And it does not celebrate complexity for its own sake. It asks for enough causal structure to explain the behaviour accurately.

Once that principle is established, the next problem follows naturally.

Multiple causes do not always remain independent.

What happens when the causes of behaviour begin changing one another?

That is the problem of Reciprocal Causation.

Sources and research record5 sources, with findings, strengths and limitations as entered

References

5 sources this piece rests on, as entered in the Library.

  1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

    Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

    Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

    doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  2. VanderWeele, T. J., Robins, J. M. (2007) The Identification of Synergism in the Sufficient-Component-Cause Framework

    Methodological study · Epidemiology, 18(3) · 329–339

    Formal treatment of interaction as dependence among causal contributions rather than mere coexistence of causes.

    doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000260218.66432.88

  3. Cicchetti, D., Rogosch, F. A. (1996) Equifinality and Multifinality in Developmental Psychopathology

    Theoretical review · Development and Psychopathology, 8(4) · 597–600

    Different pathways converging on similar outcomes, and similar starting conditions leading toward different outcomes.

    doi:10.1017/S0954579400007318

  4. Beauchaine, T. P., Gatzke-Kopp, L. M. (2012) Instantiating the Multiple Levels of Analysis Perspective in a Program of Study on Externalizing Behavior

    Programmatic review · Development and Psychopathology, 24(3) · 1003–1018

    Disciplined integration of biological, affective, motivational, behavioural and environmental levels, against single-level causal exclusivity.

    doi:10.1017/S0954579412000508

  5. Bolger, N. et al. (2019) Causal Processes in Psychology Are Heterogeneous

    Empirical and methodological article · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 148(4) · 601–618

    Causal effects can vary across people and contexts; heterogeneity is structured scientific variation, not noise.

    doi:10.1037/xge0000558

Further reading

Behind this page

The claims this essay makes, the evidence behind them, and the limits it accepts.

Evidence status

Established

Well supported by a substantial, converging empirical literature.

Claims

  1. An outcome can have multiple contributing causes

    Established

    What this does not assert: Multiple contribution is a property some outcomes have, not a law about every behaviour.

    1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  2. Similar starting influences can contribute to different outcomes

    High confidence

    What this does not assert: Multifinality carries the same calibration as equifinality.

    1. Cicchetti, D., Rogosch, F. A. (1996) Equifinality and Multifinality in Developmental Psychopathology

      Theoretical review · Development and Psychopathology, 8(4) · 597–600

      Different pathways converging on similar outcomes, and similar starting conditions leading toward different outcomes.

      doi:10.1017/S0954579400007318

  3. Causal effects can vary across individuals and contexts

    High confidence

    What this does not assert: Variation can itself be patterned rather than arbitrary.

    1. Bolger, N. et al. (2019) Causal Processes in Psychology Are Heterogeneous

      Empirical and methodological article · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 148(4) · 601–618

      Causal effects can vary across people and contexts; heterogeneity is structured scientific variation, not noise.

      doi:10.1037/xge0000558

  4. Behavioural outcomes can legitimately be studied across multiple explanatory levels

    High confidence

    What this does not assert: Legitimacy of a level is earned by explanatory contribution, case by case.

    1. Beauchaine, T. P., Gatzke-Kopp, L. M. (2012) Instantiating the Multiple Levels of Analysis Perspective in a Program of Study on Externalizing Behavior

      Programmatic review · Development and Psychopathology, 24(3) · 1003–1018

      Disciplined integration of biological, affective, motivational, behavioural and environmental levels, against single-level causal exclusivity.

      doi:10.1017/S0954579412000508

  5. Biological, psychological and environmental explanations need not be mutually exclusive

    High confidence

    What this does not assert: Nor are they automatically complementary; incompatible causal claims remain incompatible.

    1. Beauchaine, T. P., Gatzke-Kopp, L. M. (2012) Instantiating the Multiple Levels of Analysis Perspective in a Program of Study on Externalizing Behavior

      Programmatic review · Development and Psychopathology, 24(3) · 1003–1018

      Disciplined integration of biological, affective, motivational, behavioural and environmental levels, against single-level causal exclusivity.

      doi:10.1017/S0954579412000508

  6. Identifying a genuine cause may still leave a behavioural outcome incompletely explained

    Canonical inference

    What this does not assert: Causal validity and explanatory completeness are different achievements.

    1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  7. A multilevel explanation is useful only when causal relations are specified

    Canonical inference

    What this does not assert: A list of levels is not a causal model.

    1. Beauchaine, T. P., Gatzke-Kopp, L. M. (2012) Instantiating the Multiple Levels of Analysis Perspective in a Program of Study on Externalizing Behavior

      Programmatic review · Development and Psychopathology, 24(3) · 1003–1018

      Disciplined integration of biological, affective, motivational, behavioural and environmental levels, against single-level causal exclusivity.

      doi:10.1017/S0954579412000508

  8. The causal architecture required for an explanation depends partly on the explanatory target

    Canonical inference

    What this does not assert: One event, a recurring pattern and a population rate are different targets.

  9. Parsimony should preserve causally relevant structure rather than minimise variables at any cost

    Canonical inference

    What this does not assert: Neither maximal complexity nor maximal simplicity is a criterion of adequacy.

  10. The factors relevant to initiating a behavioural pattern need not remain equally important later

    Canonical inference

    What this does not assert: Causal composition can change across time without invoking feedback dynamics.

    1. Bolger, N. et al. (2019) Causal Processes in Psychology Are Heterogeneous

      Empirical and methodological article · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 148(4) · 601–618

      Causal effects can vary across people and contexts; heterogeneity is structured scientific variation, not noise.

      doi:10.1037/xge0000558

  11. A cause can be genuine without being sufficient by itself

    Established

    What this does not assert: Insufficiency does not make the causal claim false.

    1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  12. Several causal components can combine into configurations that produce an outcome

    Established

    What this does not assert: Different configurations can produce the same outcome.

    1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  13. Multiple causation and causal interaction are distinct concepts

    Established

    What this does not assert: Coexisting causes are not thereby interacting causes.

    1. VanderWeele, T. J., Robins, J. M. (2007) The Identification of Synergism in the Sufficient-Component-Cause Framework

      Methodological study · Epidemiology, 18(3) · 329–339

      Formal treatment of interaction as dependence among causal contributions rather than mere coexistence of causes.

      doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000260218.66432.88

  14. The causal effect of one factor can depend on another condition

    Established

    What this does not assert: Conditionality belongs inside the causal model, not outside it as background.

    1. VanderWeele, T. J., Robins, J. M. (2007) The Identification of Synergism in the Sufficient-Component-Cause Framework

      Methodological study · Epidemiology, 18(3) · 329–339

      Formal treatment of interaction as dependence among causal contributions rather than mere coexistence of causes.

      doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000260218.66432.88

  15. Necessary causes can exist within multicausal systems

    Established

    What this does not assert: Multicausality does not abolish necessity.

    1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  16. Multiple causes can differ substantially in causal importance

    Established

    What this does not assert: Plurality of causes does not flatten their weight.

    1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

    2. Bolger, N. et al. (2019) Causal Processes in Psychology Are Heterogeneous

      Empirical and methodological article · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 148(4) · 601–618

      Causal effects can vary across people and contexts; heterogeneity is structured scientific variation, not noise.

      doi:10.1037/xge0000558

  17. Rigorous causal analysis remains possible in multicausal systems

    Established

    What this does not assert: More demanding, not less scientific.

    1. VanderWeele, T. J., Robins, J. M. (2007) The Identification of Synergism in the Sufficient-Component-Cause Framework

      Methodological study · Epidemiology, 18(3) · 329–339

      Formal treatment of interaction as dependence among causal contributions rather than mere coexistence of causes.

      doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000260218.66432.88

    2. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

      Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

      Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

      doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  18. Similar outcomes can arise through different causal pathways

    High confidence

    What this does not assert: Equifinality is a possible property of behavioural systems, not a universal one.

    1. Cicchetti, D., Rogosch, F. A. (1996) Equifinality and Multifinality in Developmental Psychopathology

      Theoretical review · Development and Psychopathology, 8(4) · 597–600

      Different pathways converging on similar outcomes, and similar starting conditions leading toward different outcomes.

      doi:10.1017/S0954579400007318

Sources

  1. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S. (2005) Causation and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

    Methodological review · American Journal of Public Health, 95(S1) · S144–S150

    Component and sufficient causes, necessary causes within multicausal systems, and the distinction between causal contribution and sufficiency.

    doi:10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204

  2. VanderWeele, T. J., Robins, J. M. (2007) The Identification of Synergism in the Sufficient-Component-Cause Framework

    Methodological study · Epidemiology, 18(3) · 329–339

    Formal treatment of interaction as dependence among causal contributions rather than mere coexistence of causes.

    doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000260218.66432.88

  3. Cicchetti, D., Rogosch, F. A. (1996) Equifinality and Multifinality in Developmental Psychopathology

    Theoretical review · Development and Psychopathology, 8(4) · 597–600

    Different pathways converging on similar outcomes, and similar starting conditions leading toward different outcomes.

    doi:10.1017/S0954579400007318

  4. Beauchaine, T. P., Gatzke-Kopp, L. M. (2012) Instantiating the Multiple Levels of Analysis Perspective in a Program of Study on Externalizing Behavior

    Programmatic review · Development and Psychopathology, 24(3) · 1003–1018

    Disciplined integration of biological, affective, motivational, behavioural and environmental levels, against single-level causal exclusivity.

    doi:10.1017/S0954579412000508

  5. Bolger, N. et al. (2019) Causal Processes in Psychology Are Heterogeneous

    Empirical and methodological article · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 148(4) · 601–618

    Causal effects can vary across people and contexts; heterogeneity is structured scientific variation, not noise.

    doi:10.1037/xge0000558

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Reciprocal Causation

Behaviour is not always the final outcome of a causal process. What a person does can change the conditions, responses and information that shape what happens next. Reciprocal causation describes this bidirectional influence across time—without implying equal power, simultaneity or a feedback loop.

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